Commercial Real Estate brokerage and consulting specializing in industrial, office and investment real estate

Sentry Commercial Real Estate Brokers, Consultants

Sentry Commercial Real Estate

Commercial Real Estate Brokers & Consultants

Hartford, CT

860.528.0884

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August 28, 2010


Mixed signals in the industrial re markets.

Filed under: Mark Duclos — Mark Duclos @ 7:11 am

Mark Duclos - 2

Everyone is seeking input on just where the industrial real estate markets are headed. Frankly, I think we are all trying to believe we are headed on our way back. And while I believe this (markets heading up) is the case, the fact is that for every one of me, there is probably one person that believes the opposite (we’re headed down) and one that believes we’re staying the same (yes, going nowhere, fast!).

I just read this article on CityFeet MarketWatch (CityFeet.com) and, while the article says we are headed up, as you read on, it puts a number of qualifiers on that position. Jim Dieter, Executive VP of Industrial Brokerage at Cushman & Wakefield, a guy who has been around for awhile and knows a thing or two about the national markets, recently released his mid-year comments. I thought you might enjoy his perspective (go to C&W Mid-Year Report).

Keep smiling!

Mark




August 22, 2010


Market Momentum Changing.

Filed under: Mark Duclos — Mark Duclos @ 6:05 am

Mark Duclos - 2

While the quarterly stats might not be showing it, I can tell you that the “daily” stats are. “Market Momentum” is beginning to change out there. And while it will take a while to absorb all of the vacancies of the last 30 months,  they (the vacancies) ARE beginning to go away. Evidenced by recent deals…CREC, 50,000 sf + in Hartford CT and Windsor CT, STR’s planned expansion (275,000 sf) to East Windsor CT, GE’s 160,000 sf lease in Stamford CT and CIGNA’s 120,000 sf lease in Windsor CT. A number of companies, while not hiring at a pace we would like to see, ARE expanding (and even hiring a few people here and there).

So while commercial agents might be split on the timing of a full recovery, I think we all agree that “market momentum” is picking up.

Keep smiling!

Mark




August 20, 2010


Companies changing their approach to space needs.

Filed under: Mark Duclos — Mark Duclos @ 8:22 am

Mark Duclos - 2

Just read an interesting article by Sandra Johnson (MetroHartford Alliance) that was published in the New England Real Estate Journal. It illustrates just how companies are examining the way they make real estate decisions in today’s changing world. While this article is based on office decisions, it goes the same with industrial decisions as well. It is time (we are actually well beyond the time) that all companies take a serious look at the future and realize that their successful real estate decisions of the past do not guarantee success in the future.

See attached NEREJ article: NEREJ




July 20, 2010


Industrial report predicts 2011 industrial recovery

Filed under: Mark Duclos — Mark Duclos @ 4:50 am

Mark Duclos - 2

Interesting report by CA based Marcus & Millichap Real Estate Investment Services. Predicts the industrial recovery to be 2011, maybe even 2012. While the report is about the recovery of the industrial investment market (i.e. not the user market), it does show the differing opinions out there re: the recovery. Seems the difference in most opinions is in the area of “absorption”. No one seems to dispute the recovery…just the speed of the recovery (i.e. how quickly will the existing inventory be absorbed).

See attached report: Marcus & Millichap Report




June 22, 2010


No such thing as a temporary tax increase!

Filed under: Mark Duclos — Mark Duclos @ 4:17 pm

Mark Duclos - 2

In 2008 the legislature passed a two year extension on the “temporary” increase of the real estate transfer tax. Well once again the legislature is looking for yet ANOTHER extension of that temporary tax! It doesn’t look like a question of “IF”.  Instead it looks like a question of “how long”? (One or two years).  One of the reasons why? “The local governments are counting on the tax for revenue”.  Aren’t we all (looking for more revenue!!)!?!

See attached Hartford Courant article: Real Estate Tax




June 20, 2010


Hey government and politicians…If you haven’t noticed…it’s all about jobs!

Filed under: Mark Duclos — Mark Duclos @ 8:10 am

Mark Duclos - 2

Last week I was asked to participate on a panel of “industrial real estate experts”. The effort was to give our audience a “state of the state” type of overview for the CT and Western MA region. I have been on a number of these panels in the last 30 months and, just like the previous panels, the picture wasn’t pretty! All of us talking about rising vacancy rates, falling sale prices and lease rates, varying opinions of what relief was in sight, how the state needs to become more competitive. While everyone on the panel did a nice job, it was pretty much the same ole stuff.

So here’ the unabridged version of my thoughts…

Government…Politicians…WAKE UP! Experts on panel after panel after panel are talking about the sad state of affairs in this state. Are you listening? The fact is (and BTW, this is the way it’s been for a long time…it’s not just “due to the recession”)…CT is expensive. CT is NOT business friendly (i.e. our ATTITUDE  toward business is depressing)! You tell us that you want business expansion and you want new businesses to come to the state, but everything you DO says otherwise!

Politicians…stop telling us that CT needs new jobs and industry…that we need to lower the cost of doing business…that we want to be “business friendly” (”tell me something I don’t know”)! START telling us HOW you are going to do it! Stop “talking the talk” and start “walking the walk”. Because all of us “experts” can tell you about a number of growing companies that are ready to “walk the walk”…right OUT of this state!

My guess is that we will never be the “low cost provider”. Then what are we? Just in the last week we saw a company that was supposed to be an example of what CT is all about…LEAVE THE STATE! Yes, PaperG is headed to California (not exactly a “low cost provider” itself). In fairness we also attracted a company, EpiEP (nice job CT Innovations!), but we can’t afford to trade wins and losses!

Suggestion…At worst, you made this state the most expensive state in the country. At best you’ve spent the last number of years “saving” jobs at companies that are headed out of this state in the not-too-distant future anyway!! That’s what I call throwing good money after bad. Why “good money after bad”? While these are political wins, there aren’t any financial packages you can throw at certain companies that will cure their issues operating in the state LONG TERM (unless you DRASTICALLY reduce the cost of doing business here…LONG TERM)! 

So unless you are ready to make us the “low cost provider”, why not stop CHASING the “old economy” and start paying attention to and start CHASING the “new economy”? Why not start thinking “outside the box” rather than thinking the same ole way that got us in this mess in the first place? How are we addressing the mobile workforce? The companies with great technology but less than 10 employees (not just those companies that need working capital)? The medium sized employers that have emerging technologies that are looking to grow right now? Etc. etc. etc.

Please…we are begging for leadership in this state (at a bunch of levels). Would someone please step up! Stop talking about “baseball and apple pie” and start talking specifics! Preferably refreshingly, specific, NEW ideas!

Mark




June 11, 2010


Moody’s Analytics and CBIA economic outlook.

Filed under: Mark Duclos — Mark Duclos @ 7:31 am

Mark Duclos - 2

Went to the CBIA/CBT Economic Outlook breakfast this past Monday. Confirmed my “good news/bad news” outlook.  Good news being that the economy is on the rebound. Bad news being that the Connecticut economy is behind the curve AND so is real estate (residential and commercial). Take a look at the Moody’s Analytics/Andres Carbacho-Burgos presentation on the CBIA web site.  Good stuff! 

Moody’s Analytics_Andres Carbacho-Burgos CBIA Presentation

Keep smiling!

Mark




May 23, 2010


Will the South Windsor CT studios produce jobs?!?

Filed under: Mark Duclos — Mark Duclos @ 9:52 am

Mark Duclos - 2

I have been asked a number of times whether I felt that the new film studio proposed for South Windsor CT (Connecticut Studios) will produce jobs for the area OR if it will just be another self-contained development. Well, my answer to all of you (as you know) has been an incredibly insightful “I don’t know”! And while I still can’t speak as an expert on the economic benefits of film studios, this morning I am just a little smarter and a little more knowledgeable on the subject. 

“Lost”, that cult-like ABC television series, ends today and there aren’t a lot of people in the Honolulu area that are all too happy about it! By all estimates “Lost” spent approximately $400 m in the Hawaii economy, hired 800 full time employees and over 1,200 suppliers (not to mention one lucky foam guy!) in just six years!

Take a look at the article that ran in this weekend’s Wall Street Journal, “Weekend Journal” edition: Hawaii _Lost_




May 20, 2010


SIOR Commercial RE Index looks up (a little).

Filed under: Mark Duclos — Mark Duclos @ 4:35 am

Mark Duclos - 2

OK, we’ll take what we can get. This is the Q1 2010 SIOR Commercial Real Estate Index. A compilation of over 700 SIOR’s opinions on where the commercial real estate markets are headed. The good news is up! The bad news is, slowly. Very slowly!

See attached SIOR Index to be published in the SIOR Professional Report magazine for May 2010: SIOR Commercial Real Estate Index Article – 2010 1st quarter




May 4, 2010


Market Transactions and New Avails – April 2010

Filed under: Mark Duclos — Mark Duclos @ 8:02 am

Mark Duclos - 2

Q1 2010 turned out as expected…Stabilizing of the market…a few more deals…a slight increase in showing activity. Biggest question right now? Will the “corporate planning” going on today (i.e. company’s looking internally at their options to accommodate increasing sales and production) turn into actual real estate expansion? OR, will they defer to the option of increasing the number of production shifts, wait for 100% utilization of existing plants, etc. etc. etc. Time will tell. What we DO know is, even with the increase in showing and transaction activity, most markets have anywhere between 1-3 years of excess real estate to absorb.

See attached Market Transactions and New Availability Report for April 2010: April Combined Avails & Comps

Keep smiling!

Mark




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